Treaties & Agreements
The peace text is finished. Constitutional sequencing, border-force language, and legal-claims withdrawal still stand between draft and settlement.
Lead
Treaties & Agreements
Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Deal Phase II
Both sides finalized peace text in 2025, but the decisive 2026 test is whether signature sequencing and implementation design can survive domestic political constraints.
On the Desk
Regional Conflicts
A provisional arrangement lowered collision risk at Second Thomas Shoal. The legal claim, and the patrol pattern around it, did not move.
International Organizations
Bahrain’s Hormuz protective-force draft was stripped of Chapter VII language through six revisions, then pulled from the Friday calendar.
Treaties & Agreements
Negotiators have a calendar. The test is whether tariff schedules and dispute language can survive domestic politics and WTO scrutiny.
The File
Hormuz Risk Reshapes Oil Sanctions
Shadow-fleet designations now land in a market where insurance, mines, and transit-passage law decide whether sanctions can bite.
The Treaty Behind Spain’s Iran Refusal
Rota and Morón are closed to the Iran campaign. The 1953 basing architecture is why Madrid’s legal position holds.
The Islamabad Gambit
Pakistan’s triangulation between Washington and Tehran is the last serious ceasefire channel before the April deadline.
Yemen Rejoins the War
A missile near Beer Sheba one month into Epic Fury shows the proxy network operating as Tehran designed it.
Ukraine Talks Resume in Washington
Mediators sat down hours after a Zaporizhzhia strike. The sanctions row still clouds the path forward.
Congo Peace Talks Hinge on Minerals
Washington’s minerals bet is now the load-bearing piece of a fractured M23 ceasefire.
The Desk
Foreign Diplomacy is a research desk for treaties, regional wars, multilateral institutions, and sanctions. Every factual claim is tied to a primary source. We write for readers who need the legal and diplomatic architecture, not a briefing slide.